There are still less than 80 days left in 2018, and winter is coming. For those who do textiles, they have a mentality of "hearts are worried, and they are willing to be cold." But this winter is destined a little different for textile people. Even if the cold weather that the clothing people hoped for in the past came, it is estimated that it is difficult to make the textile factory have a great improvement in the later stage.
After the National Day, I received a lot of phone calls from the factory owners of the same company. The bosses felt inexplicably how they were not busy at the factory. They were looking for a list everywhere. According to the market in previous years, this time period is not busy, it should not be a bit. Under normal circumstances, the factory should still be in the market for the eleventh. Is it difficult for everyone to play this year?
Light industry manufacturing, textiles and clothing are basically the industries that most small and medium-sized micro-private enterprises in the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta region are engaged in. In the past two years, some cities have strengthened fire management, demolition, safety supervision, environmental remediation and other measures, many small The factory owner was forced to move out or switch to business. For those who still stick to this industry, I thought that I would have eliminated some of them, and I will definitely live better if I survive. However, the current industry market seems to be really not optimistic.
Market question: clothing companies, why don't you buy fabrics? Will you buy it?
1, the first half has been smashed! In the second half of the year, fabric traders are afraid to smash!
After the carnival in the first half of the year, there was a "one-town chicken feather" in the second half of the year! Some garment enterprises and traders began to spread a large range of hoarding fabrics after March after the expectation of one cloth is hard to find, and the expectation of Sino-US trade on foreign trade tariffs rose, the foreign trade enterprises originally in September. Orders are also advanced before August. From the terminal clothing to the traders, there is a certain amount of fabric inventory. When the market raw material inventory is saturated, it can be imagined that the main clothing and fabric traders in September and October are not dare. When the goods are sold, the order is naturally slowed down.
2, autumn and winter, especially down jackets, down, raw materials soaring and other costs have doubled, do not dare to smash!
In the process of garment production, the price of clothing is directly related to the cost of raw materials, production loss, labor costs, etc. With the improvement of the market in the past two years, related products such as fabrics and accessories have ushered in skyrocketing, according to apparel companies, At present, the cost of down has doubled. Down jackets are the main products in autumn and winter. The skyrocketing prices and the changes in fashion trends in recent years have made clothing companies worry about the sales of down jackets in autumn and winter. Therefore, they should either prepare low-priced stocks in advance or reduce them. The amount of stock, so the loss of the order of the down jacket actually has a big impact. In addition, not only down jackets, the surge in chemical fiber raw materials has increased the cost of enterprises in the past few months. On the one hand, even if the recent price declines, there is a large room for price increase in the first half of the year, and the market is unstable. It is very difficult for companies to receive the pricing season. In the case of not being able to ship properly and the price is outrageous, the market rhythm is disrupted, and traders are afraid to smash!
3, some have been bought and bought, but there are too many stocks on the market!
It is unrealistic to say that the market has not started. It is indeed a sign of the peak season. Some clothing companies orders are still being issued one after another, but why is it that the orders of the weaving factory or the production and sales of the raw materials factories are so low? In fact, in the past years, the sales in the off-season peak season is a normal state, but the popularity of the first half of the year has made the traders' goods too much. In the second half of the year, September and October are the time of the dumping, when the high inventory encounters the big sale. I can imagine it!
4, the weather is not cool, warm winter is expected to be strong
As mentioned above, the high price of raw materials for down jackets has caused garment companies to dare not swear. Another reason is that all textile companies are also looking forward to the weather cooling. As the weather cools, autumn and winter clothing sales will enter a new round of climax, but in contrast, this year, there is not much coldening trend after the eleventh, textile people's expectations for warm winter is particularly strong.
5. The garment plus workshop is disappearing, and the upstream fabric is expanding.
The horrible thing is that the current garment processing market is also undergoing a cage change, including Qiaosi Town, one of the largest garment production bases in China, and Huzhou Zhili Childrens Wear Town, which are undergoing remediation and will be eliminated in the future. Part of the clothing plus workshops, and most of these small enterprises supply Taobao and other e-commerce platforms, and the suppliers of these enterprises are mainly low-end conventional water spray products, so the rectification of clothing plus workshops causes short-term terminals. Unbalanced supply and demand.
On the other hand, the upstream fabrics are expanding. With the bursting of the production capacity of the fabrics, the impact on the Jiangsu and Zhejiang markets will inevitably lead to the vicious competition in the period of overcapacity. At the same time, the total amount of looms in the country, the printing facilities in the central and western China, the chemical fiber factory and the finishing facilities, etc., will continue to be returned to the Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions for sales, because the lower cost will have a greater impact on the Jiangsu and Zhejiang grey cloth market. The current market competition is bad, and the danger signal of overcapacity is being induced.
6. Sino-US trade and the weakening of the e-commerce market affect the economy, and the terminal personal consumption power is weakening.
At present, the new tariffs imposed by the United States on 200 billion U.S. dollars of Chinese imports have reached 10%, and may rise to 25% on January 1, and the Chinese economy is beginning to feel the pressure. As companies prepare to cope with the impact of US tariffs, China's manufacturing growth is weakening. In addition, the double 11 effect that has been popular in previous years has also weakened in recent years. In the past few years, the e-commerce carnival season will drive the volume of the fabric market, but this effect has gradually weakened since last year. The reason is that in recent years, funds have flowed into real estate, and prices have risen, especially the price of clothing brands has risen. The terminal's personal disposable consumption is reduced, and the consumption power is weakening. From this year's situation, the orders of the double eleven are not in large quantities.
For the textile boss, it is now a cold wave in this peak season, which everyone can't think of. From the end of August to October, every time I look forward to the arrival of the order, there are times of failure, watching the piles of higher inventory, This is actually more worrying than stocks! However, it is not only the problem of orders, but also the daily price fluctuations of raw materials. Every time I receive a notice of price increase, I am shocked. I am constantly calculating: the raw materials are indeed bought, but this is really necessary. Up? Still tentative?
All in all, when the house is not sold, some people help to go to stock, but the stock of textiles and clothing does not count on the policy to help you raise the price to sell the stock clothing. A clothing owner said: Although the current list can still be busy for two months, but for those who have been in the industry for decades, the back feels really smelling a different taste.. .... |
